Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.9%
Ibiza
29.3%
Draw
35.8%
Amorebieta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Ibiza
vs
1.08
Amorebieta
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.8%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
11.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
0-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).