Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.9%
Maidstone
27.4%
Draw
52.7%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Maidstone
vs
1.56
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.7%
0-2
10.7%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
6.6%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).