Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.1%
Genoa
21.5%
Draw
15.4%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Genoa
vs
0.79
Spezia
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.6%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).