Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Tenerife
31.6%
Draw
31.5%
Logrones
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Tenerife
vs
0.90
Logrones
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.556.3%
Over 2.529.4%
Over 3.512.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
0-0
14.9%
0-1
13.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
0-2
6.0%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).