Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.6%
Oxford
22.1%
Draw
23.3%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Oxford
vs
1.01
Southend
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).