Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.9%
Southampton
21.5%
Draw
67.6%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Southampton
vs
2.12
Fulham
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.7%
0-1
10.7%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.9%
0-0
6.9%
1-3
6.8%
0-4
4.7%
2-2
3.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-1
3.4%
1-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).