Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.1%
Crawley Town
20.5%
Draw
47.4%
Kendal Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Crawley Town
vs
2.09
Kendal Town
Markets
BTTS71.3%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.572.9%
Over 3.552.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
1-3
5.8%
0-1
5.0%
2-3
5.0%
0-2
4.9%
1-0
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
0-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).