Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Harrogate
27.8%
Draw
43.5%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Harrogate
vs
1.24
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.5%
1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).