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DHT: 12

11 May 2025 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.9%
Eintracht Frankfurt
23.8%
Draw
17.3%
St Pauli

Expected Goals (xG)

1.87

Eintracht Frankfurt

vs
0.92

St Pauli

Markets

BTTS51.5%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.0%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).