Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.2%
Cambridge
18.9%
Draw
11.8%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Cambridge
vs
0.68
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
2-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
9.2%
1-1
8.9%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).