Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.4%
Guingamp
21.3%
Draw
34.3%
Rodez
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Guingamp
vs
1.52
Rodez
Markets
BTTS63.8%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.541.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
6.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
0-2
4.4%
3-2
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).