Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
St Mirren
30.3%
Draw
24.1%
St Johnstone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
St Mirren
vs
0.86
St Johnstone
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
12.5%
2-0
9.7%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).