Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.2%
Avellino
30.6%
Draw
38.2%
Trapani
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Avellino
vs
1.24
Trapani
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
10.7%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).