Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.3%
M'gladbach
21.8%
Draw
60.9%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
M'gladbach
vs
2.08
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.7%
0-1
8.7%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.7%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
2-1
4.9%
1-0
4.0%
1-4
3.6%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).