Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.9%
Valladolid
30.2%
Draw
39.9%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Valladolid
vs
1.11
Burgos
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.8%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
13.1%
1-0
12.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).