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AHT: 04CSV

18 May 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.3%
Braunschweig
26.8%
Draw
43.9%
Nurnberg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Braunschweig

vs
1.60

Nurnberg

Markets

BTTS58.5%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.2%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).