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DHT: 10CSV

19 Feb 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.0%
Amiens
21.2%
Draw
49.8%
Bordeaux

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Amiens

vs
1.82

Bordeaux

Markets

BTTS60.8%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
8.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
5.7%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
3.8%
2-0
3.8%
0-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).