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AHT: 11CSV

22 Apr 2023 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.2%
Villarreal B
27.6%
Draw
41.3%
Albacete

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Villarreal B

vs
1.28

Albacete

Markets

BTTS47.2%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.4%
1-0
10.4%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).