Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.7%
Sutton
23.0%
Draw
20.3%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Sutton
vs
0.91
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
1-1
10.9%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
7.1%
0-0
6.9%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).