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AHT: 13CSV

26 Dec 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.3%
Stenhousemuir
30.0%
Draw
4.7%
Stranraer

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Stenhousemuir

vs
0.18

Stranraer

Markets

BTTS11.9%
Over 0.575.9%
Over 1.542.4%
Over 2.517.5%
Over 3.55.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
29.6%
0-0
24.1%
2-0
18.9%
3-0
8.0%
1-1
5.6%
0-1
3.8%
2-1
3.3%
4-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
5-0
0.6%
1-2
0.5%
4-1
0.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).