Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.3%
Auxerre
31.4%
Draw
26.3%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Auxerre
vs
0.73
Nantes
Markets
BTTS32.6%
Over 0.583.5%
Over 1.551.8%
Over 2.525.9%
Over 3.510.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.4%
0-0
16.5%
0-1
13.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).