Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Montpellier
30.9%
Draw
23.0%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Montpellier
vs
0.70
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS33.5%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.553.9%
Over 2.527.4%
Over 3.511.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.6%
0-0
15.9%
1-1
12.3%
0-1
11.6%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
4.4%
0-2
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).