⚽ FootballData
2 – 1
HHT: 10CSV

20 Aug 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
43.9%
Anderlecht
27.7%
Draw
28.4%
Westerlo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.44

Anderlecht

vs
1.11

Westerlo

Markets

BTTS51.9%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.6%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).