Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.1%
Forest Green
25.3%
Draw
37.6%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Forest Green
vs
1.30
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-1
10.3%
1-0
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
0-0
6.9%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).