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20 Apr 2024 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.4%
Istanbulspor
32.6%
Draw
46.0%
Karagumruk

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Istanbulspor

vs
1.47

Karagumruk

Markets

BTTS50.6%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.5%
0-0
11.9%
0-1
9.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
5.9%
1-0
5.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).