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AHT: 01CSV

20 Feb 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.7%
Nimes
19.6%
Draw
58.7%
St Etienne

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Nimes

vs
2.04

St Etienne

Markets

BTTS58.8%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.1%
1-1
8.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.7%
0-3
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
2-1
5.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-3
3.9%
1-4
3.4%
0-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).