Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.5%
Northampton
26.7%
Draw
38.8%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Northampton
vs
1.23
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
0-1
12.0%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).