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21 Jun 2020 · 20:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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92.6%
Inter
5.6%
Draw
1.8%
Sampdoria

Expected Goals (xG)

3.63

Inter

vs
0.43

Sampdoria

Markets

BTTS33.8%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.591.2%
Over 2.577.0%
Over 3.557.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
13.8%
4-0
12.5%
2-0
11.4%
5-0
9.1%
1-0
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-1
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
5-1
3.9%
1-1
2.6%
0-0
1.7%
3-2
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).