Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.7%
Welling United
39.6%
Draw
39.7%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.47
Welling United
vs
0.78
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS19.9%
Over 0.571.5%
Over 1.535.0%
Over 2.513.0%
Over 3.53.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
28.5%
0-1
22.7%
1-0
13.9%
1-1
10.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-0
3.2%
2-1
2.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-3
1.0%
2-2
1.0%
3-0
0.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).