Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.8%
Nantes
22.2%
Draw
63.0%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Nantes
vs
1.77
Lens
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.1%
0-2
13.1%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-0
6.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
3.7%
0-4
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
1-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).