Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.6%
Vallecano
27.0%
Draw
24.3%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Vallecano
vs
0.95
Espanol
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).