Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.7%
Alloa
28.2%
Draw
44.1%
Morton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Alloa
vs
1.61
Morton
Markets
BTTS58.6%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
7.6%
0-2
7.5%
0-1
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
2-2
5.8%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).