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29 Sept 2024 · 17:30

Eibar

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.1%
Oviedo
32.4%
Draw
24.5%
Eibar

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Oviedo

vs
0.71

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Markets

BTTS32.8%
Over 0.582.9%
Over 1.552.3%
Over 2.525.8%
Over 3.510.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.2%
0-0
17.1%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
12.4%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).