Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Ingolstadt
28.1%
Draw
31.5%
Erzgebirge Aue
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Ingolstadt
vs
1.25
Erzgebirge Aue
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).