Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.0%
Rubin Kazan
28.7%
Draw
31.3%
Spartak Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Rubin Kazan
vs
1.25
Spartak Moskva
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).