Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.7%
M'gladbach
26.7%
Draw
27.6%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
M'gladbach
vs
1.17
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.0%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).