Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.8%
Dag and Red
25.3%
Draw
18.9%
Dover Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Dag and Red
vs
0.93
Dover Athletic
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.0%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).