Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.2%
St. Gilloise
15.6%
Draw
5.1%
Beerschot VA
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
St. Gilloise
vs
0.44
Beerschot VA
Markets
BTTS32.1%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
17.2%
1-0
14.6%
3-0
13.1%
4-0
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
0-0
6.9%
1-1
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
5-0
3.5%
4-1
3.3%
0-1
2.5%
2-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).