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22 Sept 2024 · 12:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.2%
Lausanne Sport
22.6%
Draw
14.2%
Yverdon Sport

Expected Goals (xG)

2.19

Lausanne Sport

vs
0.98

Yverdon Sport

Markets

BTTS57.2%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.6%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
7.6%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
4-0
4.0%
4-1
3.9%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).