Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.9%
Manchester City
15.0%
Draw
8.2%
Braintree Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Manchester City
vs
0.63
Braintree Town
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.9%
1-0
11.8%
3-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
7.1%
3-1
7.0%
4-0
6.7%
0-0
4.6%
4-1
4.2%
0-1
3.3%
5-0
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).