Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.5%
Bolton
25.6%
Draw
16.0%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Bolton
vs
0.62
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS35.0%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.7%
2-0
13.4%
0-0
12.0%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
8.1%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
2.4%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).