Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.2%
Sociedad
20.8%
Draw
14.0%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Sociedad
vs
0.84
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
1-0
11.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
4.0%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).