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22 Mar 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.9%
Empoli
24.3%
Draw
27.8%
Pescara

Expected Goals (xG)

1.90

Empoli

vs
1.41

Pescara

Markets

BTTS65.3%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
1-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
4.6%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).