Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.8%
Betis
22.9%
Draw
16.3%
Deportivo Alavés
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Betis
vs
0.83
Deportivo Alavés
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).