Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.3%
Burgos
27.3%
Draw
19.4%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Burgos
vs
0.72
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS38.6%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
11.9%
2-0
11.7%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.1%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).