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DHT: 01CSV

01 Jan 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.0%
Oldham
26.7%
Draw
40.3%
Chesterfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Oldham

vs
1.27

Chesterfield

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
0-1
12.2%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).