Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.2%
Heidenheim
20.9%
Draw
16.9%
Magdeburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Heidenheim
vs
1.12
Magdeburg
Markets
BTTS61.3%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.565.8%
Over 3.543.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
1-0
6.8%
3-0
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
0-0
4.2%
4-1
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).