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HHT: 11CSV

15 Oct 2022 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.0%
Mansfield
21.5%
Draw
20.5%
Walsall

Expected Goals (xG)

1.87

Mansfield

vs
1.01

Walsall

Markets

BTTS53.2%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.0%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
6.1%
3-0
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
0-0
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
3-2
3.1%
4-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).