Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.0%
Manchester City
24.3%
Draw
25.6%
Slough Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Manchester City
vs
1.05
Slough Town
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).