Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.1%
Oxford
24.2%
Draw
22.7%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Oxford
vs
0.86
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.6%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).